Climate adaptation · water

Flood risk

The combination of the probability of flooding and the adverse consequences it would have for people, property, environment and cultural heritage.

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Definition

Flood risk is the product of a flood hazard — the probability and characteristics (extent, depth, velocity) of flooding — and the potential adverse consequences for human health, the environment, cultural heritage and economic activity. The EU Floods Directive (2007/60/EC) operationalises the concept by requiring member states to assess flood risk, prepare Flood Hazard Maps (areas that could be flooded) and Flood Risk Maps (potential adverse consequences), and adopt flood risk management plans in six-yearly cycles — the third cycle covering 2022–2027. Floods are Europe's most common and costly natural disaster and are becoming more frequent with climate change.

References

European Commission

Directive requirements (assessment, hazard and risk maps, management plans), six-yearly cycles with third cycle 2022–2027, floods as Europe's most common and costly natural disaster

UNDRR

hazard definition and hydrometeorological classification including floods

Overview

What it means

Distinguishing hazard from risk keeps prevention honest: heavy rain may be unavoidable, but risk depends on what sits in the flood's path — hence the Directive's emphasis on mapping exposure and coordinating land-use, nature-based retention and emergency planning across river basins.

How it is used

Used in spatial planning, insurance, infrastructure design, climate-adaptation strategies and disaster-risk financing.

Why it matters

As climate change intensifies extremes, flood risk is the dominant water-related threat to European lives and assets; consistent definition and mapping is the basis for all mitigation investment.

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